publications
2024
- A Link Between the Lab and the Real World - A Setup for Accelerated Aging of Power Electronics Using Mission Profiles from the FieldMattias P. Eng, Madhav Mishra, Wilhelm Söderkvist Vermelin, and 2 more authorsIn 2024 25th International Conference on Thermal, Mechanical and Multi-Physics Simulation and Experiments in Microelectronics and Microsystems (EuroSimE), Apr 2024
To generate data used for developing schemes and models for CM, PHM, and for estimating RUL of power electronic devices, accelerated aging experiments in the form of power cycling are often performed. In these experiments, a set current is passed through the power devices and is turned on and off in regular cycles. Due to the mismatch in CTEs of the materials in the devices , the on/off cycles will generate thermally induced stress in the various material interfaces, which is the main cause of failures. Most of the power cycling setups that are currently used can only manage a single set on-state current level and fixed on/off times (which is also the common standard for lifetime testing); a condition that is very far from most real applications. The experimental setup described here is based on a Gamry Reference 3000AEpotentiostat/galvanostat/ZRA working with a Gamry 30k Booster , which can be programmed to generate a variable load current profile and will thus enable the application of more realistic conditions for accelerated aging of power electronic devices in the lab. This will improve prognostics model development and provide excellent use cases for evaluating the capabilities of the prognostics algorithms for generalization to field conditions. The application of variable load profiles from the field, instead of the regular on/off cycles traditionally used, is not compatible with the commonly used method of using the chip itself as a temperature sensor. Instead, we here present a novel method of estimating the junction temperature using a device specific derivation of thermal parameters from the measured cooling block temperature, case temperature, and dissipated power in conjunction with simulations using the PySpice simulation package implemented in Python. The setup coupled with the new junction temperature estimation is an important step in enabling predictive maintenance of power devices that is currently missing from the power electronics community.
2023
- Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Estimation of Discrete Power Electronic DevicesWilhelm Söderkvist Vermelin, Andreas Lövberg, Maciej Misiorny, and 2 more authorsIn Proceedings of the 33rd European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2023), Apr 2023
Robust and accurate prognostics models for estimation of remaining useful life (RUL) are becoming an increasingly important aspect of research in reliability and safety in modern electronic components and systems. In this work, a data driven approach to the prognostics problem is presented. In particular, machine learning models are trained to predict the RUL of wire-bonded silicon carbide (SiC) metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFETs) subjected to power cycling until failure. During such power cycling, ON-state voltage and various temperature measurements are continuously collected. As the data set contains full run-to-failure trajectories, the issue of estimating RUL is naturally formulated in terms of supervised learning. Three neural network architectures were trained, evaluated, and compared on the RUL problem: a temporal convolutional neural network (TCN), a long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) and a convolutional gated recurrent neural network (Conv-GRU). While the results show that all networks perform well on held out testing data if the testing samples are of similar aging acceleration as the samples in the training data set, performance on out-of-distribution data is significantly lower. To this end, we discuss potential research directions to improve model performance in such scenarios.
- A Simple Hybrid Model for Estimating Remaining Useful Life of SiC MOSFETs in Power Cycling ExperimentsMattias P Eng, Andreas Lövberg, Maciej Misiorny, and 3 more authorsIn PHM Society Asia-Pacific Conference, Apr 2023
Recording and prediction of the accumulated damage, which will eventually lead to the failure of power electronic modules, is an aspect of high importance for power electronic systems design and, in particular, for development of Prognostic and Health Management (PHM) schemes for in-field applications. To this end, this paper presents a simple and cost-effective prognostic method for predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of TO-247 packaged silicon carbide (SiC) metal-oxide semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFETs) subjected to power cycling experiments. The model assumes that the major failure mode is bond-wire lift-off and uses a damage accumulation scheme based on Paris’ crack law. The only inputs to the model are historical data on the average junction temperature swing and the temperature-compensated drain-source ON-state resistance at the peak temperature of the current cycle. Using only these two input values, the model is shown to predict RUL with surprising accuracy for the range of constant current loads determining cycling conditions under which the test data series have been acquired. This work is a first step in an ongoing project towards building more elaborate prognostic schemes for RUL-determination of SiC power MOSFETs in actual working conditions, using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs).
2022
- Self-supervised Learning for Efficient Remaining Useful Life PredictionWilhelm Söderkvist Vermelin, Andreas Lövberg, and Konstantinos KyprianidisIn Vol. 14 No. 1 (2022): Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the PHM Society 2022, Apr 2022
Canonical deep learning-based Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction relies on supervised learning methods which in turn requires large data sets of run-to-failure data to ensure model performance. In a large class of cases, run-to-failure data is difficult to collect in practice as it may be expensive and unsafe to operate assets until failure. As such, there is a need to leverage data that are not run-to-failure but may still contain some measurable, and thus learnable, degradation signal. In this paper, we propose utilizing self-supervised learning as a pretraining step to learn representations of the data which will enable efficient training on the downstream task of RUL prediction. The self-supervised learning task chosen is time series sequence ordering, a task that involves constructing tuples each consisting of n sequences sampled from the time series and reordered with some probability p. Subsequently, a classifier is trained on the resulting binary classification task; distinguishing between correctly ordered and shuffled tuples. The classifier’s weights are then transferred to the RUL-model and fine-tuned using run-to-failure data. We show that the proposed self-supervised learning scheme can retain performance when training on a fraction of the full data set. In addition, we show indications that self-supervised learning as a pretraining step can enhance the performance of the model even when training on the full run-to-failure data set. To conduct our experiments, we use a data set of simulated run-to-failure turbofan jet engines.
2019
- Discovering Patterns in Driving DataKaren Baca Mendoza, and Wilhelm Söderkvist VermelinApr 2019Master’s thesis in Engineering Mathematics and Computational Science
Modern vehicles are equipped with numerous sensors for providing feedback to the control unit. These measurements hold a substantial amount of information about the driver’s action, environmental and traffic conditions. In this thesis, we investigate using various machine leaning techniques to analyze driving data for discovering repetitive patterns when facing similar traffic situations. To this end, we first use unsupervised learning and data mining techniques to find driving patterns and to develop a labeling scheme. This last point consist of finding patterns in individual signals which are then combined to find patterns describing more complex behaviors. The discovered patterns and labels are used in the second part of the thesis to develop a classifier for recognizing the current driving situation. The classifier is designed such that it can be implemented in an Electric Control Unit of a production vehicle. After the analysis, we were able to discover intelligible driving scenarios and we focused on some of them to label our data. We used this labeling to train and compare four different neural network architectures commonly used in time series classification. The models are trained by simulating an online situation where data comes in a form of data stream. The results show that online classification is feasible. Implementing the classifier in the vehicle software could be beneficial for aiding the control unit in deciding gear shifts, energy recuperation and propulsion system. This may lead to a more efficient vehicle and a better driving experience.
2016
- 3+1 Approach to Cosmological Perturbations : Deriving the First Order Scalar Perturbations of the Einstein Field EquationsWilhelm Söderkvist VermelinApr 2016Bachelor’s thesis in Physics
Experimental data suggest that the universe is homogeneous and isotropic on sufficiently large scales. An exact solution of the Einstein field equations exists for a homogeneous and isotropic universe, also known as a Friedmann-Lemaı̂tre-Robertson-Walker (FLRW) universe. However, this model is only a first approximation since we know that, locally, the universe has anisotropic and inhomogeneous structures such as galaxies and clusters of galaxies. In order to successfully introduce inhomogeneities and anisotropies to the model one uses perturbative methods. In cosmological perturbations the FLRW universe is considered the zeroth order term in a perturbation expansion and perturbation theory is used to derive higher order terms which one tries to match with observations. In this thesis I present a review of the main concepts of general relativity, discuss the 3+1 formalism which gives us the Einstein field equations in a useful form for the perturbative analysis, and lastly, I derive the first order scalar perturbations of the Einstein field equations.